North Island
A Framework for Evaluating and Benchmarking Concept Drift Detection Methods
Cerqueira, Vitor, Gomes, Heitor Murilo, Heyden, Marco, Pfahringer, Bernhard, Bifet, Albert
Data stream mining is fundamentally challenged by concept drift, where distributional changes can degrade model performance. Despite the proliferation of drift detection methods, progress in the field is hindered by inconsistent evaluation practices: studies rely on oversimplified synthetic data generators, adopt incompatible metrics, and lack transparency in hyperparameter selection, making fair comparisons difficult. We address this gap with a novel benchmarking framework comprising three contributions: (1) a drift simulation method that injects controlled distributional changes into real-world datasets via Monte Carlo trials, enabling supervised evaluation while preserving real-world data complexity; (2) an evaluation protocol for drift detection with timing-aware criteria, including the derivation of new metrics (e.g., F1 detection score, normalized detection time) that are comparable across streams; and (3) we advocate for a leave-one-dataset-out hyperparameter optimization protocol for drift detection methods that promotes configuration robustness across heterogeneous stream dynamics. We benchmark 14 widely used drift detection methods on 7 realworld datasets across 4 drift types (class prior, label swap, feature permutation, feature filtering), each under both abrupt and gradual transitions. Our experimental results provide insights into the strengths and weaknesses of current drift detection approaches while establishing baseline performance metrics for future research in this area. All code and experiments are publicly available.
Causal Fairness for Survival Analysis
In the data-driven era, large-scale datasets are routinely collected and analyzed using machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) to inform decisions in high-stakes domains such as healthcare, employment, and criminal justice, raising concerns about the fairness behavior of these systems. Existing works in fair ML cover tasks such as bias detection, fair prediction, and fair decision-making, but largely focus on static settings. At the same time, fairness in temporal contexts, particularly survival/time-to-event (TTE) analysis, remains relatively underexplored, with current approaches to fair survival analysis adopting statistical fairness definitions, which, even with unlimited data, cannot disentangle the causal mechanisms that generate disparities. To address this gap, we develop a causal framework for fairness in TTE analysis, enabling the decomposition of disparities in survival into contributions from direct, indirect, and spurious pathways. This provides a human-understandable explanation of why disparities arise and how they evolve over time. Our non-parametric approach proceeds in four steps: (1) formalizing the necessary assumptions about censoring and lack of confounding using a graphical model; (2) recovering the conditional survival function given covariates; (3) applying the Causal Reduction Theorem to reframe the problem in a form amenable to causal pathway decomposition; (4) estimating the effects efficiently. Finally, our approach is used to analyze the temporal evolution of racial disparities in outcome after admission to an intensive care unit (ICU).
Initialization-Aware Score-Based Diffusion Sampling
Fassina, Tiziano, Cardoso, Gabriel, Corff, Sylvan Le, Romary, Thomas
Score-based generative models (SGMs) aim at generating samples from a target distribution by approximating the reverse-time dynamics of a stochastic differential equation. Despite their strong empirical performance, classical samplers initialized from a Gaussian distribution require a long time horizon noising typically inducing a large number of discretization steps and high computational cost. In this work, we present a Kullback-Leibler convergence analysis of Variance Exploding diffusion samplers that highlights the critical role of the backward process initialization. Based on this result, we propose a theoretically grounded sampling strategy that learns the reverse-time initialization, directly minimizing the initialization error. The resulting procedure is independent of the specific score training procedure, network architecture, and discretization scheme. Experiments on toy distributions and benchmark datasets demonstrate competitive or improved generative quality while using significantly fewer sampling steps.